Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.1% | 31.9% | -4.2 | ✓ (32.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat -37 (87-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Strus * | 31 | 7-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 31 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 29 | 4-14 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 25 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Sam Merrill * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter | 28 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 21 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dean Wade | 21 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro | 8 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Javonte Green | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaylon Tyson | 5 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 40 | 9-20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 36 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell * | 36 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 33 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kel'el Ware * | 18 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jović | 19 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 17 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Pelle Larsson | 16 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 15 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter