Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.5% | 80.5% | +7.8 | ✓ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +21 (121-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 39 | 10-22 | 1-5 | 3-6 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 17 | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 38 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 37 | 7-18 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 9 | - | |
| Kel'el Ware * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - | |
| Alec Burks * | 15 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 33 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 20 | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 30 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 14 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Nikola Jović | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Pelle Larsson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Keshad Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 33 | 11-19 | 2-9 | 6-7 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 30 | 24 | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 33 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 20 | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 30 | 10-17 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 19 | - | |
| Max Strus * | 21 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 26 | 10-15 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 21 | - | |
| Sam Merrill | 24 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter | 16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Isaac Okoro | 12 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Dean Wade | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Chuma Okeke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Jaylon Tyson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Javonte Green | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter