Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 15.1% | 84.9% | +9.5 | ✗ (19.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boston Celtics -10 (101-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 39 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 38 | 7-13 | 6-11 | 4-4 | 5 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin * | 36 | 7-12 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. * | 30 | 4-13 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jovic * | 24 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 26 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 16 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 41 | 10-20 | 2-6 | 6-8 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 37 | 13-23 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 33 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 37 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 35 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 29 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Al Horford | 23 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 15 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter