Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.8% | 67.2% | +3.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +3 (97-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Andre Hunter * | 42 | 11-21 | 3-7 | 10-11 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 35 | 30 | - | |
| Trae Young * | 41 | 2-12 | 0-5 | 7-9 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 33 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - | |
| John Collins * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | |
| Delon Wright | 31 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 20 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | - | |
| Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 41 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 26 | - | |
| Victor Oladipo * | 36 | 8-16 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 14 | - | |
| Max Strus * | 32 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 33 | 6-12 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 20 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 12 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter