Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.4% | 50.6% | +0.1 | ✗ (24.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -24 (86-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 36 | 12-21 | 1-2 | 11-12 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 36 | - | - | |
| Max Strus * | 35 | 4-16 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 29 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 27 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 27 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Victor Oladipo | 23 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 21 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 19 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 35 | 3-11 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 30 | 9-13 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 30 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 21 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 25 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 20 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 14 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Skylar Mays | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 4 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter