Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.8% | 67.2% | +3.9 | ✓ (20.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +24 (115-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Andre Hunter * | 34 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 29 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 28 | 1-12 | 0-7 | 6-7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 23 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 25 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| John Collins | 21 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Skylar Mays | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 4 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 33 | 9-15 | 1-2 | 2-7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 28 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Max Strus * | 25 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 24 | 6-8 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 25 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 22 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 22 | 9-10 | 8-9 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven | 4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter