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2020-08-29

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 47.6% 52.4% -
Bradley-Terry 24.1% 75.9% -
Margin 16.3% 83.7% +9.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 35.5% 64.5% -
Efficiency 9.5% 90.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.2% 85.8% -
Log Adjusted 14.2% 85.8% -
Points Off/Def 21.1% 78.9% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +14 (118-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Vucevic * 39 9-25 3-10 1-2 15 5 1 0 22 - -
Evan Fournier * 32 5-12 3-7 5-7 4 3 1 1 18 - -
Markelle Fultz * 32 6-14 1-5 1-2 1 5 0 1 14 - -
James Ennis III * 30 4-11 1-5 0-0 6 1 0 0 9 - -
Gary Clark * 23 0-4 0-3 1-2 6 1 0 0 1 - -
D.J. Augustin 24 5-12 2-4 3-3 1 3 0 0 15 - -
Terrence Ross 23 5-11 3-5 0-0 6 2 1 0 13 - -
Khem Birch 19 1-1 0-0 2-2 6 2 0 0 4 - -
Wes Iwundu 14 2-4 2-2 2-3 2 0 0 0 8 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 33 7-16 3-8 4-5 10 7 1 0 21 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 28 11-17 3-6 3-5 17 3 0 1 28 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 27 3-7 2-5 2-2 3 8 1 0 10 - -
Brook Lopez * 27 7-12 1-4 1-1 7 1 1 1 16 - -
Wesley Matthews * 23 1-9 1-7 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 - -
Marvin Williams 22 4-8 4-5 0-0 7 0 0 1 12 - -
George Hill 22 2-3 0-0 7-8 2 3 0 0 11 - -
Pat Connaughton 17 1-3 0-2 2-2 4 2 0 0 4 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 12 1-2 1-1 1-2 2 1 0 1 4 - -
Ersan Ilyasova 12 1-5 0-2 2-2 2 0 1 0 4 - -
Kyle Korver 11 2-6 1-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -

* = starter