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2020-08-22

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 35.5% 64.5% -
Bradley-Terry 63.9% 36.1% -
Margin 72.5% 27.5% -5.3 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 58.5% 41.5% -
Efficiency 84.5% 15.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 79.8% 20.2% -
Log Adjusted 79.8% 20.2% -
Points Off/Def 68.4% 31.6% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -14 (107-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 31 7-17 3-7 0-1 8 6 1 0 17 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 30 12-14 2-3 9-12 11 7 2 1 35 - -
Brook Lopez * 29 7-10 2-4 0-0 6 0 1 0 16 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 25 5-9 2-3 2-2 5 8 3 0 14 - -
Wesley Matthews * 24 3-6 3-6 0-0 1 0 1 0 9 - -
Pat Connaughton 20 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 5 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 18 3-6 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 1 6 - -
George Hill 18 3-6 1-3 1-2 0 3 1 0 8 - -
Kyle Korver 18 3-8 3-7 0-0 1 0 1 0 9 - -
Robin Lopez 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Marvin Williams 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -
Sterling Brown 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Ersan Ilyasova 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Vucevic * 35 8-19 2-8 2-2 5 2 2 0 20 - -
Gary Clark * 34 2-4 2-4 0-0 8 3 2 0 6 - -
Evan Fournier * 31 4-10 2-6 3-3 2 0 1 0 13 - -
Markelle Fultz * 28 2-9 1-2 0-0 1 5 1 0 5 - -
James Ennis III * 9 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 - -
D.J. Augustin 26 8-12 4-7 4-4 3 6 0 0 24 - -
Wes Iwundu 24 2-7 2-3 0-0 2 3 1 1 6 - -
Terrence Ross 23 8-13 4-7 0-1 1 0 1 0 20 - -
Khem Birch 19 2-5 0-0 2-2 7 4 1 0 6 - -
BJ Johnson 3 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Vic Law 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -

* = starter