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2020-08-20

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 47.6% 52.4% -
Bradley-Terry 24.1% 75.9% -
Margin 16.3% 83.7% +9.0 (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 35.5% 64.5% -
Efficiency 9.5% 90.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.2% 85.8% -
Log Adjusted 14.2% 85.8% -
Points Off/Def 21.1% 78.9% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +15 (111-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Fournier * 35 4-13 1-6 3-4 3 2 3 0 12 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 34 13-23 2-8 4-4 10 2 0 1 32 - -
Gary Clark * 29 1-5 1-5 0-0 7 2 1 1 3 - -
James Ennis III * 25 3-9 0-3 2-2 10 2 1 0 8 - -
Markelle Fultz * 25 4-11 1-1 2-2 2 3 2 1 11 - -
Terrence Ross 29 4-14 2-7 2-3 1 1 1 1 12 - -
D.J. Augustin 27 0-5 0-1 10-10 2 5 0 0 10 - -
Khem Birch 18 2-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 5 - -
Wes Iwundu 14 0-6 0-2 3-4 3 1 1 1 3 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brook Lopez * 33 8-12 4-8 0-0 3 0 1 1 20 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 31 10-23 1-5 7-8 20 5 0 0 28 - -
Khris Middleton * 30 1-8 0-4 0-0 5 6 1 0 2 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 25 6-12 0-3 1-1 2 7 1 1 13 - -
Wesley Matthews * 21 2-5 2-5 1-2 0 1 0 0 7 - -
Pat Connaughton 23 5-8 5-8 0-0 11 3 0 2 15 - -
George Hill 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 - -
Marvin Williams 17 1-3 0-2 0-0 6 0 1 0 2 - -
Kyle Korver 15 3-6 2-4 1-1 3 1 0 0 9 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 11 4-9 1-2 2-4 3 1 1 0 11 - -
Robin Lopez 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter