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2018-04-20

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 49.7% 50.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 47.2% 52.8% - ✓
Margin 36.6% 63.4% +3.0 ✓ (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 45.2% 54.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 44.5% 55.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 44.4% 55.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 41.7% 58.3% - ✓

Actual: Indiana Pacers +2 (92-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 41 10-22 4-7 4-6 12 8 1 1 6 28 22 -
Kevin Love * 37 7-13 3-5 2-2 6 1 1 0 4 19 10 -
JR Smith * 34 3-11 2-8 0-0 5 0 4 0 0 8 6 -
George Hill * 23 4-6 0-2 5-6 1 1 0 0 2 13 7 -
Kyle Korver * 19 0-3 0-3 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 0 2 -
Rodney Hood 28 4-8 0-3 0-0 0 3 2 0 1 8 4 -
Jordan Clarkson 20 1-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 2 2 -
Larry Nance Jr. 17 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 6 7 -
Jeff Green 16 2-6 1-3 1-2 0 2 1 1 0 6 4 -
Cedi Osman 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Victor Oladipo * 38 5-15 1-8 7-8 6 7 3 0 5 18 14 -
Bojan Bogdanović * 35 11-15 7-9 1-3 4 0 0 0 2 30 17 -
Thaddeus Young * 33 6-10 0-0 0-0 7 1 3 2 1 12 14 -
Myles Turner * 30 4-11 0-4 0-0 10 0 1 0 3 8 5 -
Darren Collison * 29 1-7 0-2 1-2 2 3 1 0 2 3 0 -
Domantas Sabonis 24 3-5 0-1 1-1 1 1 0 1 2 7 3 -
Lance Stephenson 23 3-8 0-1 2-2 5 1 0 0 1 8 5 -
Cory Joseph 19 1-2 0-1 4-4 0 4 0 0 1 6 7 -
Trevor Booker 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter