Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.5% | 50.5% | +0.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +4 (100-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Westbrook * | 44 | 11-28 | 0-3 | 9-9 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 16 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 42 | 8-20 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 37 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| James Harden * | 34 | 7-11 | 1-5 | 8-10 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 27 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Eric Maynor * | 20 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 39 | 10-17 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 22 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 39 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 9-9 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 33 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 30 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 24 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 22 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic | 9 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter