Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.5% | 50.5% | +0.1 | ✗ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -6 (100-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 43 | 11-23 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 7 | - |
| James Harden * | 32 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 7-8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 27 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 28 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Eric Maynor * | 19 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 15 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 40 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 19 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 38 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 36 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -3 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 27 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 24 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 18 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 15 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter