Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.5% | 50.5% | +0.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +9 (121-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 41 | 10-18 | 2-5 | 18-19 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 35 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 38 | 3-15 | 0-0 | 14-18 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 8 | - |
| James Harden * | 35 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 31 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 19 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Eric Maynor * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 7 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Nate Robinson * | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 40 | 12-15 | 0-0 | 24-24 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 48 | 45 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 35 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 14 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 32 | 8-16 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 26 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 20 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 16 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Corey Brewer | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter