Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.7% | 50.3% | +0.1 | ✗ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls -3 (80-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 45 | 8-19 | 3-6 | 9-11 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 27 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 42 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 38 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 8-11 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 24 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 19 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Rose * | 42 | 9-29 | 2-8 | 5-6 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 7 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 35 | 6-17 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Joakim Noah * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Ronnie Brewer * | 26 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 26 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Taj Gibson * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 20 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| C.J. Watson * | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kyle Korver | 13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
* = starter