Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.0% | 71.0% | +4.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +8 (101-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Boozer * | 49 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Derrick Rose * | 48 | 8-27 | 1-9 | 6-7 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 0 | - |
| Joakim Noah * | 44 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 43 | 8-16 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 23 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Ronnie Brewer * | 20 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 16 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Taj Gibson * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C.J. Watson * | 6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 49 | 11-26 | 0-1 | 13-13 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 20 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 43 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 10-11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 40 | 5-16 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 33 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 26 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 21 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 20 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
* = starter