Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.7% | 50.3% | +0.1 | ✗ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls -10 (75-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 45 | 12-21 | 2-6 | 3-7 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 21 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 42 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 39 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 34 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 23 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| James Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luol Deng * | 45 | 5-15 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 1 | - |
| Derrick Rose * | 41 | 7-23 | 0-3 | 7-10 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Joakim Noah * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 26 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Taj Gibson * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Ronnie Brewer * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 16 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C.J. Watson * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kyle Korver | 17 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter