Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.7% | 50.3% | +0.1 | ✓ (20.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls +21 (103-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 41 | 5-15 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 39 | 7-17 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 36 | 12-17 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 20 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 30 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - |
| James Jones * | 24 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 22 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Udonis Haslem | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mike Miller | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Eddie House | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luol Deng * | 44 | 7-15 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Derrick Rose * | 38 | 10-22 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 9 | - |
| Joakim Noah * | 35 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 25 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Taj Gibson * | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Ronnie Brewer * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C.J. Watson * | 9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Korver | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter