Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.6% | 71.4% | +5.0 | ✓ (31.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +36 (122-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Bryant * | 37 | 7-18 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | -2 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Andrew Bynum * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 28 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 25 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Shannon Brown * | 22 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 17 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Matt Barnes * | 12 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Joe Smith | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Trey Johnson | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Luke Walton | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 31 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 30 | 7-7 | 6-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 26 | 9-14 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 25 | 11-14 | 9-10 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 21 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 25 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 7 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 18 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Corey Brewer | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Brian Cardinal | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter