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2011-05-06

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 34.0% 66.0% -
Bradley-Terry 39.8% 60.2% -
Margin 28.6% 71.4% +5.0 (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 42.7% 57.3% -

Actual: Dallas Mavericks +6 (98-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lamar Odom * 42 8-16 0-1 2-3 6 3 1 1 1 18 12 -
Pau Gasol * 40 5-13 0-0 2-3 8 2 0 0 2 12 7 -
Andrew Bynum * 37 9-16 0-0 3-3 10 1 1 0 3 21 14 -
Kobe Bryant * 37 8-16 0-3 1-1 4 6 1 0 2 17 10 -
Derek Fisher * 35 3-8 1-2 2-2 2 5 2 0 1 9 9 -
Shannon Brown * 18 4-8 1-4 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 10 4 -
Steve Blake * 14 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 5 8 -
Matt Barnes * 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Joe Smith * 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dirk Nowitzki * 41 12-19 4-5 4-4 9 1 0 1 4 32 20 -
Jason Terry * 36 7-10 2-4 7-8 3 2 2 0 0 23 20 -
Jason Kidd * 35 3-12 2-8 3-4 4 9 0 1 4 11 9 -
Tyson Chandler * 33 1-1 0-0 6-7 5 0 1 1 0 8 14 -
Shawn Marion * 29 1-7 0-1 0-0 8 3 1 2 3 2 6 -
Peja Stojakovic * 23 5-11 3-7 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 15 7 -
Brendan Haywood * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 0 6 -
J.J. Barea * 13 1-5 0-2 2-4 0 5 0 0 0 4 4 -
DeShawn Stevenson * 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 3 4 -
Corey Brewer 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter