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2011-05-02

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 49.3% 50.7% -
Bradley-Terry 46.0% 54.0% -
Margin 50.2% 49.8% -0.0 (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 51.3% 48.7% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -2 (94-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dirk Nowitzki * 37 11-22 1-2 5-5 14 3 2 1 1 28 25 -
Shawn Marion * 34 5-13 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 1 2 10 5 -
Tyson Chandler * 34 5-8 0-0 1-2 9 1 0 3 0 11 16 -
Jason Kidd * 33 2-4 2-3 1-2 5 11 3 1 5 7 18 -
Jason Terry * 30 6-10 1-4 2-2 3 4 1 1 1 15 13 -
Peja Stojakovic * 23 4-8 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 10 4 -
J.J. Barea * 14 3-6 2-4 0-0 2 5 0 0 0 8 9 -
Brendan Haywood * 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
DeShawn Stevenson * 9 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -4 -
Corey Brewer 8 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 5 4 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pau Gasol * 36 5-10 0-0 5-6 11 7 0 1 3 15 21 -
Kobe Bryant * 35 14-29 4-9 4-5 5 0 1 1 3 36 11 -
Metta World Peace * 31 1-8 0-3 0-0 3 4 3 1 1 2 4 -
Lamar Odom * 31 5-10 0-1 5-5 12 2 0 1 1 15 19 -
Derek Fisher * 30 3-6 1-2 1-1 1 6 2 1 0 8 12 -
Andrew Bynum * 28 3-8 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 1 0 8 7 -
Steve Blake * 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Matt Barnes * 16 2-6 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 4 4 -
Shannon Brown * 13 3-6 0-2 0-1 1 0 2 1 2 6 2 -

* = starter