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2011-05-09

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 79.1% 20.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 47.8% 52.2% - ✗
Margin 49.6% 50.4% +0.1 ✗ (10.1 off)
Pythagorean 50.5% 49.5% - ✓

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -10 (123-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 56 9-20 1-6 16-18 13 1 4 0 5 35 28 -
Russell Westbrook * 51 15-33 0-2 10-11 5 5 3 2 3 40 19 -
James Harden * 49 4-11 1-6 10-10 7 7 0 3 1 19 24 -
Nick Collison * 34 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 0 4 8 -
Kendrick Perkins * 34 2-2 0-0 0-3 8 0 0 0 3 4 7 -
Daequan Cook * 24 3-9 2-7 2-2 5 0 0 0 2 10 4 -
Nazr Mohammed * 20 3-4 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 2 0 7 9 -
Serge Ibaka * 16 3-5 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 1 7 4 -
Thabo Sefolosha * 14 1-3 0-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 4 4 -
Eric Maynor * 11 1-4 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 1 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marc Gasol * 57 11-20 0-2 4-5 21 3 2 1 6 26 27 -
Zach Randolph * 55 9-25 0-0 16-17 16 3 1 1 5 34 25 -
Shane Battier * 38 3-6 0-3 1-1 3 3 0 2 0 7 9 -
O.J. Mayo * 37 7-14 4-6 0-0 5 5 0 1 0 18 15 -
Mike Conley * 37 2-12 1-6 11-12 1 5 2 0 2 16 10 -
Tony Allen * 33 3-10 0-1 0-0 1 2 2 1 4 6 -2 -
Greivis Vasquez * 26 4-12 1-4 5-5 4 2 0 0 0 14 8 -
Sam Young * 15 0-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 -1 -
Hamed Haddadi * 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 0 2 -
Darrell Arthur 8 1-6 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 -
Ish Smith 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter