Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.1% | 57.9% | +1.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +10 (97-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Allen * | 44 | 6-12 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 38 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 34 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Rajon Rondo * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jeff Green * | 23 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Delonte West * | 19 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Glen Davis * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Nenad Krstic * | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 45 | 11-20 | 5-7 | 6-9 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 21 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 43 | 13-19 | 0-1 | 8-15 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 31 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 40 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| James Jones * | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter