Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.8% | 64.2% | +3.2 | ✗ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boston Celtics -8 (90-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 50 | 12-28 | 2-6 | 9-9 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 35 | 22 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 45 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 12-14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 21 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 44 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 30 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| James Jones * | 29 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 26 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Eddie House | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Allen * | 45 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 44 | 10-20 | 1-6 | 6-7 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 41 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Rajon Rondo * | 38 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Delonte West * | 29 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Jeff Green * | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Glen Davis * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter