Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.8% | 64.2% | +3.2 | ✓ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +16 (97-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 42 | 6-16 | 0-3 | 3-7 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 40 | 8-19 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 36 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 30 | 7-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| James Jones * | 26 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 17 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Pierce * | 40 | 9-20 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 18 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 39 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 37 | 13-20 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 29 | - |
| Rajon Rondo * | 35 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Delonte West * | 25 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jeff Green * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Glen Davis * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Von Wafer | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter