Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.1% | 57.9% | +1.8 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +11 (102-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rajon Rondo * | 41 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 37 | 8-20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 2 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 34 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 32 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Glen Davis * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jeff Green * | 21 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Delonte West * | 14 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Nenad Krstic * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Von Wafer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 44 | 14-25 | 2-4 | 5-8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 21 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 39 | 8-20 | 1-3 | 11-13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 16 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 38 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 34 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 26 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 21 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| James Jones * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter