Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.1% | 57.9% | +1.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +9 (99-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Allen * | 38 | 9-13 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 37 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 34 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Rajon Rondo * | 32 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Delonte West * | 26 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Glen Davis * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jeff Green * | 21 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Nenad Krstic * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 39 | 8-19 | 1-3 | 5-9 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 37 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 37 | 14-21 | 2-5 | 8-9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 38 | 26 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 31 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| James Jones * | 28 | 5-7 | 5-7 | 10-10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 21 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
* = starter