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2011-05-12

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 42.3% 57.7% -
Bradley-Terry 44.6% 55.4% -
Margin 40.9% 59.1% +2.0 (22.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -20 (73-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luol Deng * 39 6-14 0-3 1-2 5 5 5 0 0 13 14 -
Derrick Rose * 37 8-14 1-4 2-3 4 12 0 0 3 19 18 -
Carlos Boozer * 34 10-16 0-0 3-3 10 5 1 0 1 23 22 -
Joakim Noah * 27 5-7 0-0 1-1 6 1 0 3 2 11 12 -
Keith Bogans * 21 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 3 2 -
Omer Asik * 20 2-3 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 2 1 5 6 -
Kyle Korver * 19 3-7 1-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 7 2 -
Ronnie Brewer * 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 2 -
Taj Gibson * 13 5-7 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 10 8 -
C.J. Watson * 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 0 2 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joe Johnson * 41 7-18 1-4 4-4 3 4 0 0 4 19 4 -
Josh Smith * 38 7-15 0-3 4-7 5 1 3 2 1 18 13 -
Al Horford * 37 2-10 0-0 3-4 4 1 1 0 1 7 2 -
Jamal Crawford * 24 2-10 0-3 4-4 1 2 1 0 1 8 1 -
Zaza Pachulia * 22 0-2 0-0 1-2 13 1 1 0 2 1 12 -
Jeff Teague * 22 2-6 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 4 1 -
Jason Collins * 16 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Marvin Williams * 15 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 0 -1 -
Hilton Armstrong 5 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 0 0 3 5 -
Pape Sy 5 2-3 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 5 3 -
Josh Powell 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Damien Wilkins 4 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter