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2011-04-27

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 37.3% 62.7% -
Bradley-Terry 40.1% 59.9% -
Margin 32.9% 67.1% +3.9 (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 44.8% 55.2% -

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +3 (100-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kenyon Martin * 33 7-14 0-0 0-0 10 2 2 0 0 14 14 -
Nene Hilario * 31 3-9 0-0 2-3 9 0 1 0 3 8 6 -
Ty Lawson * 30 4-8 2-3 3-5 3 4 0 0 1 13 11 -
Arron Afflalo * 30 6-15 1-5 2-2 4 3 0 0 2 15 5 -
Raymond Felton * 26 4-9 1-3 4-4 3 4 4 0 5 13 10 -
Danilo Gallinari * 25 3-6 1-2 4-4 2 2 1 0 2 11 8 -
Wilson Chandler * 23 3-5 0-1 2-3 4 0 0 2 0 8 9 -
Chris Andersen * 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 2 4 -
JR Smith * 14 3-8 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 8 -1 -
Al Harrington * 5 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 5 0 -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 42 14-27 2-10 11-12 5 2 1 2 0 41 24 -
Russell Westbrook * 35 3-15 1-3 7-10 5 4 1 0 3 14 6 -
Serge Ibaka * 34 0-4 0-1 1-2 8 2 2 9 5 1 13 -
James Harden * 32 2-7 2-6 6-8 7 3 2 1 2 12 16 -
Kendrick Perkins * 29 4-9 0-0 3-4 9 1 0 0 0 11 12 -
Thabo Sefolosha * 19 2-6 0-1 4-4 8 0 2 0 0 8 12 -
Nick Collison * 19 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 1 1 2 5 -
Eric Maynor * 12 3-7 1-3 2-2 1 2 0 0 3 9 2 -
Daequan Cook * 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Nazr Mohammed * 4 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 2 3 -

* = starter