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2011-04-25

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 45.7% 54.3% -
Bradley-Terry 45.6% 54.4% -
Margin 45.2% 54.8% +1.1 (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 49.2% 50.8% -

Actual: Denver Nuggets +3 (104-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 41 8-18 5-6 10-11 5 3 1 0 3 31 19 -
Russell Westbrook * 39 12-30 0-7 6-7 6 5 1 1 3 30 10 -
Serge Ibaka * 36 5-9 0-0 3-4 14 0 0 5 0 13 23 -
James Harden * 31 2-5 1-3 2-2 8 5 1 2 3 7 15 -
Kendrick Perkins * 26 1-3 0-0 1-4 6 0 1 0 2 3 5 -
Thabo Sefolosha * 21 2-4 1-2 0-0 4 3 0 0 1 5 7 -
Nick Collison * 14 3-5 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 1 0 7 6 -
Daequan Cook * 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 0 1 -
Eric Maynor * 8 2-3 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 5 4 -
Nazr Mohammed * 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ty Lawson * 36 8-16 2-4 9-9 3 3 0 0 1 27 16 -
Danilo Gallinari * 33 6-13 3-4 3-5 6 4 1 0 1 18 15 -
Nene Hilario * 30 3-8 0-0 4-9 9 2 1 1 1 10 14 -
Kenyon Martin * 27 6-8 0-0 1-2 9 0 0 1 1 13 14 -
Raymond Felton * 25 2-10 1-3 6-9 1 3 0 0 1 11 4 -
JR Smith * 23 5-11 3-5 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 15 5 -
Arron Afflalo * 21 2-7 0-1 2-2 3 3 0 0 1 6 4 -
Chris Andersen * 17 0-2 0-0 1-2 6 2 1 2 0 1 10 -
Al Harrington * 16 0-4 0-1 3-4 2 2 2 0 0 3 5 -
Wilson Chandler * 8 0-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter