Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.0% | 65.0% | +3.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +11 (93-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 40 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 36 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Gerald Wallace * | 33 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 32 | 8-14 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 30 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Brandon Roy * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Rudy Fernandez * | 11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Chris Johnson * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Patty Mills | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Armon Johnson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Earl Barron | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 37 | 8-18 | 0-1 | 9-11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 36 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 16 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 34 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 28 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 33 | 8-18 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 4 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 31 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 24 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Brian Cardinal | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Corey Brewer | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter