Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.9% | 57.1% | +1.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +2 (84-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 38 | 7-17 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 4 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 33 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 31 | 5-16 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 28 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 24 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 16 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 46 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Gerald Wallace * | 40 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 36 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 24 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Roy * | 24 | 9-13 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Rudy Fernandez * | 16 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Chris Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter