Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.9% | 57.1% | +1.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +5 (97-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 40 | 10-21 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 40 | 10-13 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 23 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 38 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 30 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 21 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 43 | 9-21 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 5 | - |
| Gerald Wallace * | 41 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 36 | 8-12 | 4-6 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 33 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 24 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Brandon Roy * | 23 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Rudy Fernandez * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chris Johnson * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
* = starter