Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.0% | 65.0% | +3.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +12 (101-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 43 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Gerald Wallace * | 38 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 38 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 6-7 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 36 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 35 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 24 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Rudy Fernandez * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Roy * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Patty Mills * | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Armon Johnson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 37 | 9-22 | 0-0 | 15-17 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 23 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 33 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 33 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 27 | 8-13 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 16 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Corey Brewer * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brian Cardinal | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter