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Portland Trail Blazers 81
@
Dallas Mavericks 89
2011-04-16

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 57.2% 42.8% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 44.8% 55.2% - ✓
Margin 35.0% 65.0% +3.4 ✓ (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% - ✓

Actual: Dallas Mavericks +8 (89-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMarcus Aldridge * 40 12-20 0-0 3-4 6 2 1 1 4 27 13 -
Gerald Wallace * 38 4-13 0-2 0-0 5 1 3 0 3 8 1 -
Andre Miller * 33 7-13 0-2 4-5 4 6 1 0 2 18 14 -
Nicolas Batum * 33 6-14 1-7 1-2 2 4 0 0 1 14 5 -
Marcus Camby * 29 2-3 0-0 0-0 18 5 0 2 0 4 26 -
Brandon Roy * 26 1-7 0-2 0-1 2 3 0 0 0 2 0 -
Wesley Matthews * 19 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 2 -2 -
Rudy Fernandez * 18 2-3 1-2 1-1 2 1 1 0 0 6 7 -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dirk Nowitzki * 39 7-20 1-1 13-13 10 2 0 0 6 28 14 -
Jason Kidd * 34 9-14 6-10 0-0 5 4 2 1 1 24 21 -
Shawn Marion * 34 2-6 0-0 2-2 5 3 1 2 1 6 10 -
Tyson Chandler * 32 1-1 0-0 2-2 9 0 0 2 1 4 13 -
Jason Terry * 26 2-5 0-1 6-8 1 3 2 0 1 10 10 -
J.J. Barea * 19 1-7 0-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 4 -3 -
DeShawn Stevenson * 18 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 5 2 -
Peja Stojakovic * 18 2-7 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 6 2 -
Brendan Haywood * 15 1-2 0-0 0-2 6 0 0 1 1 2 6 -
Brian Cardinal 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter