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2011-04-28

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 54.0% 46.0% -
Bradley-Terry 46.6% 53.4% -
Margin 39.7% 60.3% +2.3 (20.3 off)
Pythagorean 47.4% 52.6% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -18 (80-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pau Gasol * 34 5-12 0-0 6-6 8 3 0 2 2 16 15 -
Derek Fisher * 33 3-4 0-1 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 6 7 -
Lamar Odom * 31 5-10 1-2 3-4 8 4 0 0 0 14 16 -
Kobe Bryant * 30 6-16 2-4 10-10 1 2 3 0 4 24 10 -
Metta World Peace * 29 2-6 0-2 0-0 5 5 1 1 0 4 10 -
Andrew Bynum * 29 8-13 0-0 2-2 12 1 1 2 4 18 17 -
Matt Barnes * 18 3-5 2-2 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 8 9 -
Shannon Brown * 17 2-5 0-2 4-4 2 0 0 0 0 8 5 -
Steve Blake * 13 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 4 1 0 1 0 1 -
Joe Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Trey Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Paul * 43 4-9 1-2 1-1 8 11 2 0 5 10 17 -
Trevor Ariza * 42 4-10 0-3 4-4 5 5 0 0 2 12 10 -
Carl Landry * 34 6-13 0-0 7-7 2 0 0 0 2 19 6 -
Emeka Okafor * 31 3-3 0-0 1-2 7 0 2 2 2 7 13 -
Marco Belinelli * 27 4-12 1-3 2-2 1 1 2 0 0 11 3 -
Willie Green * 17 3-9 1-4 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 9 1 -
Jason Smith * 13 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
Jarrett Jack * 13 3-7 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 6 -2 -
DJ Mbenga * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 4 -
Aaron Gray 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
Quincy Pondexter 1 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Patrick Ewing 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter