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2011-04-26

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 30.0% 70.0% -
Bradley-Terry 39.2% 60.8% -
Margin 38.1% 61.9% +2.7 (13.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.6% 53.4% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +16 (106-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Paul * 40 6-12 1-3 7-8 4 12 1 0 4 20 21 -
Marco Belinelli * 39 8-14 3-5 2-2 0 1 1 0 0 21 9 -
Emeka Okafor * 37 2-3 0-0 1-4 5 0 2 1 3 5 7 -
Carl Landry * 35 3-7 0-0 2-4 4 2 2 1 3 8 7 -
Trevor Ariza * 33 8-17 5-8 1-1 2 3 3 0 2 22 11 -
Willie Green * 15 4-7 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 8 3 -
Jarrett Jack * 14 0-3 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 3 1 -2 -
Aaron Gray * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 0 6 -
Jason Smith * 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Quincy Pondexter 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Patrick Ewing 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pau Gasol * 37 6-12 0-0 4-5 8 4 0 3 3 16 16 -
Derek Fisher * 33 5-6 2-3 1-2 2 3 1 1 1 13 13 -
Metta World Peace * 32 4-8 1-3 2-2 2 2 0 0 2 11 5 -
Andrew Bynum * 29 6-11 0-0 6-7 10 2 0 2 3 18 18 -
Kobe Bryant * 28 8-13 0-1 3-4 2 4 1 0 3 19 10 -
Lamar Odom * 28 4-12 1-4 4-4 7 2 1 1 1 13 11 -
Shannon Brown * 19 2-8 2-5 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 8 4 -
Matt Barnes * 15 1-4 0-1 3-4 4 1 1 0 2 5 5 -
Steve Blake * 14 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 3 9 -

* = starter