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2011-04-24

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 54.0% 46.0% -
Bradley-Terry 46.6% 53.4% -
Margin 39.7% 60.3% +2.3 (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 47.4% 52.6% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +5 (93-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kobe Bryant * 36 5-18 0-3 7-9 6 8 1 0 2 17 12 -
Pau Gasol * 36 6-11 0-0 4-7 4 4 1 3 0 16 17 -
Derek Fisher * 34 4-7 0-2 2-2 1 2 1 0 1 10 6 -
Metta World Peace * 34 7-10 2-4 0-2 4 0 2 0 1 16 11 -
Andrew Bynum * 34 3-8 0-0 5-6 9 0 1 3 2 11 14 -
Lamar Odom * 24 1-7 0-3 4-4 4 0 0 0 2 6 1 -
Steve Blake * 13 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 6 7 -
Shannon Brown * 12 3-6 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
Matt Barnes * 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Paul * 43 7-14 2-4 11-11 13 15 2 0 5 27 38 -
Trevor Ariza * 41 8-17 0-3 3-4 6 3 0 0 2 19 9 -
Carl Landry * 39 6-11 0-0 4-4 7 3 1 0 1 16 15 -
Emeka Okafor * 32 3-7 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 2 2 6 6 -
Marco Belinelli * 32 3-11 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 7 -1 -
Aaron Gray * 15 3-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 7 7 -
Willie Green * 13 1-3 1-1 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 4 2 -
Jarrett Jack * 12 1-6 0-2 3-4 3 2 1 0 0 5 5 -
DJ Mbenga * 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
Jason Smith 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter