Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.2% | 49.8% | -0.1 | ✗ (18.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +18 (104-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 32 | 9-12 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 9 | - |
| George Hill * | 29 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 29 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 26 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 21 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 18 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Danny Green | 5 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| DeJuan Blair | 5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Steve Novak | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Conley * | 36 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 35 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 27 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 24 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Sam Young * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| O.J. Mayo * | 18 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Darrell Arthur * | 17 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Greivis Vasquez * | 12 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Hamed Haddadi * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ish Smith | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Leon Powe | 3 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter