Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.2% | 49.8% | -0.1 | ✗ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +3 (91-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 36 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 24 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 35 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 12-14 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 35 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 29 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| George Hill * | 26 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 15 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Randolph * | 40 | 8-21 | 1-1 | 8-10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 12 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 40 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 40 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| O.J. Mayo * | 28 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 27 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Sam Young * | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Darrell Arthur * | 15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Greivis Vasquez * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
* = starter