Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.1% | 69.9% | +4.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +3 (84-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 48 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 40 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 37 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 25 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 23 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 19 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 46 | 10-25 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 10 | - |
| Al Horford * | 44 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 32 | 3-14 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 31 | 6-16 | 3-10 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 21 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 20 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jason Collins * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Hilton Armstrong | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter