Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.4% | 51.6% | +0.3 | ✓ (24.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +25 (101-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 38 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 20 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 35 | 2-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 29 | 7-18 | 1-2 | 7-12 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 24 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 21 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jason Collins * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Hilton Armstrong | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Jeff Teague | 7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Damien Wilkins | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Josh Powell | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Anderson * | 29 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 29 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 25 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 24 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 22 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 19 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 18 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Malik Allen | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Earl Clark | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Chris Duhon | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter