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2011-04-24

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 41.6% 58.4% -
Bradley-Terry 34.5% 65.5% -
Margin 30.1% 69.9% +4.6 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +3 (88-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dwight Howard * 42 9-14 0-0 11-16 17 0 0 2 8 29 26 -
Hedo Turkoglu * 39 2-12 0-6 2-4 6 2 1 0 3 6 0 -
Jameer Nelson * 38 3-12 0-4 0-0 3 6 2 0 0 6 5 -
Quentin Richardson * 28 3-5 1-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 7 8 -
Ryan Anderson * 24 1-6 0-4 2-2 5 0 2 0 0 4 5 -
Brandon Bass * 22 4-6 0-0 3-4 1 0 2 0 1 11 7 -
JJ Redick * 22 0-6 0-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -3 -
Gilbert Arenas * 22 9-18 1-3 1-1 5 2 0 1 1 20 9 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kirk Hinrich * 41 6-11 2-3 0-0 4 4 2 0 1 14 12 -
Al Horford * 41 6-15 0-0 2-2 12 4 1 1 1 14 16 -
Josh Smith * 38 4-10 0-2 1-4 10 5 0 2 2 9 14 -
Joe Johnson * 33 6-15 1-4 7-8 9 1 0 0 6 20 9 -
Jamal Crawford * 32 10-18 3-6 2-6 3 6 0 1 1 25 16 -
Jason Collins * 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
Marvin Williams * 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 2 2 -
Josh Powell * 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
Hilton Armstrong * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter