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2011-04-22

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 41.6% 58.4% -
Bradley-Terry 34.5% 65.5% -
Margin 30.1% 69.9% +4.6 (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +4 (88-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dwight Howard * 44 8-14 0-0 5-9 15 0 0 3 3 21 22 -
Jameer Nelson * 41 5-17 1-7 2-2 5 10 2 0 2 13 11 -
Brandon Bass * 33 5-8 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 2 10 7 -
Jason Richardson * 33 4-10 2-6 4-4 9 4 0 1 0 14 18 -
Hedo Turkoglu * 32 3-11 1-6 2-4 2 4 0 0 0 9 4 -
JJ Redick * 21 3-8 1-4 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 8 -1 -
Ryan Anderson * 18 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
Quentin Richardson * 15 3-3 3-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 9 10 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joe Johnson * 43 9-23 1-2 2-4 5 5 0 0 0 21 8 -
Al Horford * 42 6-14 0-0 1-2 7 1 1 1 1 13 8 -
Josh Smith * 37 6-13 0-3 3-3 10 2 1 1 4 15 12 -
Jamal Crawford * 28 7-19 3-5 6-8 3 3 1 1 1 23 11 -
Kirk Hinrich * 26 3-7 2-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 8 6 -
Zaza Pachulia * 26 1-2 0-0 2-2 5 3 0 1 0 4 11 -
Jason Collins * 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
Marvin Williams * 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 2 5 -
Jeff Teague 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Josh Powell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter