Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.4% | 51.6% | +0.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +6 (88-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 43 | 6-15 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 34 | 8-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 30 | 8-17 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 10 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 30 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Al Horford * | 26 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Jason Collins * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Josh Powell | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Hilton Armstrong | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Damien Wilkins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 48 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 15-19 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 33 | 36 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 39 | 4-16 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 37 | 4-15 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 28 | 3-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 27 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter