Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.4% | 51.6% | +0.3 | ✗ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -10 (93-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 44 | 9-16 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Al Horford * | 44 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 33 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 2-7 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 30 | 7-14 | 4-7 | 5-6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 28 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Jason Collins * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Josh Powell | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Etan Thomas | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 45 | 16-23 | 0-1 | 14-22 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 46 | 36 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 41 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 38 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 35 | 10-18 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 14 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 24 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 17 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter