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2011-04-27

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Miami Heat Spread Result
Elo 49.7% 50.3% -
Bradley-Terry 30.9% 69.1% -
Margin 25.0% 75.0% +6.0 (0.0 off)
Pythagorean 41.0% 59.0% -

Actual: Miami Heat +6 (97-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 37 3-9 0-1 4-5 5 8 2 1 3 10 14 -
Elton Brand * 37 10-17 0-0 2-2 6 2 1 1 0 22 15 -
Andre Iguodala * 35 10-14 0-2 2-4 10 4 0 0 0 22 22 -
Thaddeus Young * 28 6-8 0-0 1-3 5 1 0 0 1 13 10 -
Evan Turner * 27 2-10 0-0 0-0 10 1 1 1 0 4 7 -
Spencer Hawes * 24 2-7 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 0 4 5 -
Jodie Meeks * 22 4-8 2-6 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 12 3 -
Lou Williams * 21 2-8 0-1 0-1 0 0 0 0 2 4 -6 -
Tony Battie * 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 -

Miami Heat

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dwyane Wade * 41 10-25 1-5 5-6 11 7 1 1 2 26 19 -
LeBron James * 41 5-13 2-5 4-5 10 8 1 0 3 16 19 -
Chris Bosh * 40 7-16 0-1 8-10 11 0 1 0 2 22 16 -
Joel Anthony * 38 0-0 0-0 4-4 5 0 0 2 1 4 10 -
Mario Chalmers * 30 7-14 6-12 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 20 11 -
James Jones * 26 3-7 3-6 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 9 6 -
Eddie House * 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
Mike Bibby * 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Zydrunas Ilgauskas * 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Juwan Howard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter