Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.8% | 45.2% | -1.1 | ✗ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +4 (86-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bosh * | 43 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| LeBron James * | 43 | 11-20 | 0-4 | 9-11 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 25 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 39 | 9-21 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 33 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 31 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| James Jones * | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 13 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Eddie House | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 35 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Elton Brand * | 35 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Andre Iguodala * | 33 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Lou Williams * | 30 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Evan Turner * | 27 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Spencer Hawes * | 25 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jodie Meeks * | 20 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter