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2011-04-21

Model Predictions

Model Miami Heat Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 33.7% 66.3% -
Bradley-Terry 55.7% 44.3% -
Margin 54.8% 45.2% -1.1 (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 53.0% 47.0% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -6 (94-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Heat

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 44 8-15 1-4 7-10 15 6 1 0 1 24 30 -
Chris Bosh * 40 8-19 0-0 3-6 6 1 1 3 3 19 8 -
Dwyane Wade * 39 10-19 0-0 12-12 10 8 1 2 3 32 31 -
Joel Anthony * 29 2-6 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 4 4 -
Mike Bibby * 26 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 3 -2 -
James Jones * 26 2-3 2-3 2-2 5 0 0 0 2 8 8 -
Mario Chalmers * 17 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 0 1 -
Zydrunas Ilgauskas * 16 5-9 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 1 10 9 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 41 7-13 4-5 2-4 2 8 1 0 2 20 16 -
Elton Brand * 40 9-15 0-0 3-4 11 0 0 1 1 21 17 -
Andre Iguodala * 40 3-10 1-4 3-4 5 10 1 1 1 10 16 -
Lou Williams * 30 5-12 2-5 3-5 1 4 1 0 0 15 9 -
Jodie Meeks * 28 2-8 2-6 0-0 3 2 2 0 0 6 5 -
Spencer Hawes * 21 6-11 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 2 0 12 9 -
Thaddeus Young * 21 1-8 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 1 2 4 -1 -
Tony Battie * 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
Evan Turner * 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter