Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.0% | 75.0% | +6.0 | ✓ (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +21 (94-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Iguodala * | 36 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Jrue Holiday * | 34 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Elton Brand * | 30 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 28 | 8-20 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 3 | - |
| Jodie Meeks * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Evan Turner * | 25 | 6-10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Lou Williams * | 24 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Spencer Hawes * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Marreese Speights | 8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 38 | 10-19 | 1-1 | 8-10 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 23 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 34 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 24 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 34 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 25 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| James Jones * | 23 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 22 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Eddie House | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Mike Miller | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter