Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.0% | 75.0% | +6.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +8 (97-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elton Brand * | 40 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Jrue Holiday * | 39 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Andre Iguodala * | 36 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 27 | 9-20 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Jodie Meeks * | 26 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Lou Williams * | 22 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Spencer Hawes * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Marreese Speights * | 12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Andres Nocioni * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Evan Turner * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tony Battie | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 42 | 4-14 | 0-2 | 13-14 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 28 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 39 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 35 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 28 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| James Jones * | 24 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 21 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Mike Miller | 2 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter